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Here's your Daily Currency Update – 24 August 2026

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Karl
Written by Karl Daly
August 24th 2026
Pound Holds Gains After Confidence Boost – Key US Data This Week
Today's Key Points
  • Pound held steady overnight after Friday’s stronger UK services data and rising consumer mood.
  • GBP/EUR sits near 1.1687, GBP/USD around 1.3635 and EUR/USD near 1.1667 after a quiet Asian session.
  • UK services PMI jumped to a six-month high of 52.8; consumer confidence reached a two-year peak.
  • Retail sales volumes slipped 0.5% in July, matching expectations after the June weather boost.
  • Markets are calm this Monday with almost no major data until later in the week.
  • Attention turns to Wednesday’s US core PCE and the Jackson Hole symposium starting Thursday.
  • Fed Chair Warsh’s first keynote on Friday is the potential market-mover for the dollar pairs.
  • Current mid-market ranges: GBP/EUR €1.1566–€1.1645 | GBP/USD $1.3458–$1.3602.
  • New in this report: Property Buyer Spotlight – see the real 1-week, 1-month and 3-month high/low ranges and what they mean for a £250,000 transfer.
Market Overview

The past 24 hours were shaped by Friday’s batch of UK releases. Services activity surprised to the upside at 52.8, the strongest reading in six months, while consumer confidence climbed to its highest level in two years. Retail sales volumes eased 0.5% in July, fully in line with forecasts after the previous month’s weather-driven surge. These figures provided a modest lift to sterling sentiment heading into the weekend. Overnight trading was subdued, with the pound consolidating recent gains against both the euro and the dollar. Looking ahead, the week starts quietly. Tuesday brings the German Ifo survey, Wednesday features the key US core PCE inflation reading alongside the second estimate of Q2 GDP, and Thursday sees the ECB’s July meeting accounts plus the opening of the Jackson Hole symposium. Friday’s Nationwide house-price data and Fed Chair Warsh’s keynote speech will set the tone for the weekend. No significant UK political statements emerged in the last day that altered market pricing.

GBP/EUR Analysis

GBP/EUR: €1.1566–€1.1645 | Level: ~1.1606 (0.8616)

  • Sterling found mild support from the better-than-expected services PMI and improved consumer confidence.
  • The pair spent most of the session inside a tight 20-pip band as liquidity thinned after the European close.
  • Euro-side flows remained limited with no major eurozone data in the past 24 hours.
Educational note: When domestic activity surveys improve while the counterpart currency has little fresh news, the cross often drifts higher in small increments rather than making a sharp jump. This week the German Ifo on Tuesday and the ECB accounts on Thursday could reintroduce euro-specific volatility, so any further sterling strength may depend on whether those releases stay soft or surprise to the upside.
PROPERTY BUYER SPOTLIGHT
Timing, Range & the Bigger Picture
 

This table illustrates the best and worst rate over a given time frame — highlighting the volatile nature of the FX markets and why timing is crucial.

Period High Low £250k at High £250k at Low Difference
1 Week 1.1699 1.1650 €292,475 €291,250 €1,225
1 Month 1.1720 1.1653 €293,000 €291,325 €1,675
3 Months 1.1809 1.1523 €295,225 €288,075 €7,150

The numbers show that movement is real, even when the market feels quiet. Most buyers naturally focus on the rate itself. Yet the rate is only one part of the equation. What often makes the larger difference is the quality of guidance around when to transfer, how the process is managed, the clarity of communication, and the reliability of the people handling the money. A slightly better rate achieved with poor support or unexpected delays can easily cost more than a well-timed transfer executed smoothly.

For early-stage buyers the real question is rarely just “what is the rate today?” It is “who will help me navigate the timing, the paperwork and the practicalities so that the money arrives exactly when it is needed, without stress?”

Want to see a different amount or timeline? try our useful calculator...

Try Calculator Here
GBP/USD Analysis

GBP/USD: $1.3458–$1.3602 | Current: ~1.3530

  • The pair tested the 1.3656 area on Friday before easing back as the dollar stabilised.
  • Positive UK services and confidence data helped limit further downside overnight.
  • US fiscal commentary and bond-market talk continued to keep the dollar on the defensive overall.
Educational note: When a currency pair approaches a well-watched resistance zone (here the recent triple-top region near 1.3656–1.3676) after a run of constructive domestic data, traders often watch for a pause rather than an immediate break. This week’s US core PCE on Wednesday and the Jackson Hole speeches later in the week will decide whether the dollar remains soft or stages a recovery that pulls GBP/USD lower again.

EUR/USD Analysis

EUR/USD: ~1.1667

  • The euro drifted lower against the dollar in thin Monday trading after failing to hold above 1.1680.
  • No major eurozone releases in the past 24 hours left the pair mainly at the mercy of dollar flows.
  • A mild divergence appeared versus GBP/USD, with sterling showing relative resilience on the UK data.
Educational note: Divergence between EUR/USD and GBP/USD often appears when one economy produces clearer growth signals than the other. This week the German Ifo and ECB accounts will test whether the euro can close that gap, while the US data and Jackson Hole will dominate the broader dollar direction for both pairs.

Weekly Economic Calendar

Date Time (UK) Currency Event Actual / Forecast Previous Imp.
Mon 24 Aug (Today) 12:30 USD Chicago Fed National Activity Index – / 0.1 -0.02 ★★
Tue 25 Aug 09:00 EUR German Ifo Business Climate – / 87.3 86.6 ★★★
Tue 25 Aug 15:00 USD CB Consumer Confidence – / 90.3 90.8 ★★★
Wed 26 Aug 13:30 USD Core PCE Price Index m/m – / 0.2% 0.1% ★★★
Wed 26 Aug 13:30 USD GDP q/q (2nd Est) – / 1.5% 1.5% ★★★
Thu 27 Aug 12:30 EUR ECB Monetary Policy Accounts – / – ★★★
Thu 27 Aug 13:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims – / 209k 206k ★★
Fri 28 Aug 07:00 GBP Nationwide House Prices m/m – / 0.1% 0.1% ★★
Fri 28 Aug 15:00 USD Fed Chair Warsh Jackson Hole Speech – / – ★★★


Conclusion

Sterling enters the new week on a steadier footing after Friday’s constructive UK surveys, yet the calendar quickly shifts focus across the Atlantic. With core PCE and the Jackson Hole gathering still to come, dollar direction remains the main unknown for both GBP and EUR crosses. The next few sessions are likely to stay relatively contained until those higher-impact releases arrive, giving markets time to digest the recent UK improvement while positioning for the mid-week US data and the Friday policy speeches.

This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
For tailored currency handling solutions, whether for personal transfers or business needs, contact Excel Currencies for a free quote.