The US dollar moved slightly lower yesterday, while sterling received a lift from the latest Brexit news. The BoE’s hawkish comments on UK interest rates may also have provided some support to the pound. Today seems likely to be a relatively quiet end to the week as markets await the outcome of this weekend’s EU summit.
PM Theresa May was in Brussels yesterday and she is scheduled to return there on Saturday to finalise a deal on the outline of a future trading relationship with the EU. That, together with the Withdrawal Agreement, is expected to be signed off at a special EU-27 summit on Sunday.
With market sentiment for GBP/EUR rate on a sideway trend at time of writing - Current key trading level is now around the €1.1280’s. If we see the rate move Higher than this level for a sustained amount of time, then the likelihood of the rate moving into the low €1.13’s will be high. A leadership challenge is still hanging over PM May but the longer it fails to transpire then least likely it will be to happen however some analysts are suggesting that some Tory MP’s are holding off to see how PM May preforms in Europe this weekend when she looks to get the approval for some amendments. Any delay or cancellation of November’s Brexit Summit will most likely be seen as negative for the GBP/EUR exchange rate but on the flip side if she comes back from Brussels with the amendments she needs to keep her cabinet/DUP happy then we could see the GBP/EUR rate move higher once again.
GBP/EUR + EUR/GBP Weekly Market Report and Forecast. Time running out for PM May to get a deal done in November.